Just forty-eight hours of campaigning remain for the candidates in Super Thursday’s three elections in Britain.  So this is as good a time as any to hazard a guess as to the outcomes.

Or possibly not.  There aren’t many experienced pundits prepared to do so because of complications inherent in all three elections.  The council elections in England are horribly complicated because parties stand in some areas but not in others.  Labour has candidates in only about half the seats on offer.  No party is standing across the board.

But the list systems employed for the Scottish and Welsh Assembly elections don’t make prediction easy, either.  They were plainly designed to maintain the liberal-left pro-Westminster status quo, and to prevent nationalism (that’s the constitutional variety, of course) from ever placing a hand on the tiller.

In Scotland, 73 of the 129 MSPs are elected to single-member constituencies and 56 are chosen for one of eight regions using proportional representation.  The cost of this system to its architect, the late Donald Dewar, was the Genscherisation of Scottish politics.  Labour, as the eternal largest party in Scotland, may never be able to govern alone.  A permanent place at the governing table was, therefore, the Scottish LibDems for the asking.

When I last ventured into Scottish political punditry, on January 13th I presumed that the SNP would be forced to make common cause with the Scottish Conservatives.  At the time Labour and the SNP were pretty much neck and neck in the polls, but headed in opposite directions.  So I predicted that the real poll would give the SNP 35% and Labour 30%, and these figures are now reported by the major polling organisations.

But I also predicted that sufficient shy Conservatives would support David Cameron and his Scottish leader, Annabel Goldie, in the voting booth to make an SNP/Con coalition viable.  In fact, the opinion polls have not been kind to the Conservatives, and it seems unlikely that they will gain on their 18 MSPs from the last Parliament.  Meanwhile Labour is eyeing a “traffic light” coalition with the Scottish LibDems and Greens.

The LibDems, however, are not to be trusted.  They will want more from Alex Salmond than the Environment portfolio that would go to the Greens in the Labour’s three-party arrangement, and they will get it.

One thing is certain.  Whichever way the LibDem’s eventually go they will try to present the decision as one of high principle.  Re-enter an administration with Labour and they are acting on their first duty is to preserve the Union.  Go with Salmond and Co and they are acting on their first duty to the Scottish electorate, who made the SNP the largest party in the new Parliament.

So, am I going to predict what evil little thoughts are spinning round and round inside LibDem brains?  Surprisingly, yes.  It is always possible to seek “assurances” and “guarantees” on a referendum three years in the future.  But how, if such are forthcoming and are demonstrably reasonable, can the LibDems reject them and face the electorate again without bringing the entire system into disrepute, and risking grave and lasting damage to themselves?

No, they will follow their ultimate self-interest.  It will be Salmond who leads the next administration at Holyrood.  And everything else I wrote about on January 13th, including the forthcoming death of the Labour Party (to the lasting benefit of the BNP), will come to pass in the fullness of time.

Going from The Top 100 cities with Youngest Population (pop. 5000+), the ones with people looking like they’re reproducing the fastest are:

* Estimated by empirical formula based on known data from Kiryas Joel: Median Age/1.5

In European culture, polytheistic beliefs began to dwindle with the rise of Christianity.  In the centuries to come it was to be expected that the polymorph system of explanation, whether in theology or, later on, in sociology, politics, history, or psychology, in short, the entire perception of the world, would gradually come under the influence of Judeo-Christian monotheistic beliefs.  Unquestionably, the two thousand year impact of Judeo-Christian monotheism, with its distilment of Americanism, has considerably altered its approach to politics as well as the overall perception of the world.

... In modern consciousness, the centuries long and pervasive influence of Christianity has contributed significantly to the modern view that holds any glorification of polytheism or, for that matter, nostalgia for the Greco-Roman spiritual order, as irreconcilable with contemporary Americanised society.  Modern individuals who reject Jewish influence in America often forget that much of their neuroses would disappear if their Biblical fundamentalism was abandoned.  One may contend that the rejection of monotheism does not imply a return to the worship of ancient Indo-European dieties or the veneration of some exotic gods and goddesses.  It means forging another civilisation or, rather, a modernized version of scientific and cultural Hellenism, considered once as a common recepticle of all European peoples.

Dr Tomislav Sunic writing under his heading of “American neo-paganism in his book, Homo americanus.

Now, I’ve put together this quote because it contains both halves of what I suppose we must call the Christianity Question, namely:-

1) The role of the Bible in communicating the Jewish materialistic worldview, out of which came the obsessive 20th Century drive for world improvement.

All liberalism’s children, including communism, democratism, predatory capitalism, even anti-semitism in Tom’s view, are just secular offshoots of this strange, borrowed Levantine faith.  And there is no end to it as long as we draw water from that well.

2) The desirability and grave difficulty of recovering mythological value for Europeans (which Tom qualifies as “the quest for their ancestral heritage”).

I am going to make a few observations about both issues.  I do so with some nervousness about treading on hallowed ground.  I am a stranger to faith myself and would not, even if I was able, wish to follow Richard Dawkins’ tasteless precedent.  I am not, therefore, making a case against faith.  My case against Christianity is the case against the leaden characteristics of the Jewish god.

With that caveat then, here goes.

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Tucson, Arizona is known for its cowboys.  I recall visiting there circa 1990 and seeing civilians walking the streets with holstered fire arms.  With that sort of culture, I don’t think you can simply dismiss some of the threats, that are made within this town meeting, against the vicious traitors running Tucson these days:

Click here for Russel Dove’s street confrontation videos.

Two new experiences for me over the last few days have been commenting at the Guardian - twice - and at Alex Linder’s blog.

The Guardian stuff was a little tricky in terms of striking a publishable note.  But there was something very familiar about the thinking of its commenters.  A bit like Samizdata without the guns.  Or maybe This Inverted World without the race-realism (hell, when I think about it, I get into trouble every place I go).  But one of our wise and honoured commentariat said it was possible to get published on the Guardian threads, and he was right.

The second new experience was just a single comment on a very good Michael O’Meara piece at VNN.  It was his take on Le Pen’s disappointing result - superior to my effort on the same subject, I think.  Michael is a deep thinker, and I suspect that he understands as much about the desirability of a synthesis between a philosophy of the right and racial nationalism as any man in America.

Today, the VNN blog (not the main page) put up a post that read “VNNForum.com Arranging New Server:”.  VNN’s existing hoster had informed them that “The content on your sites is not something that we are able to accept or are willing to host here at cari.net.  Per our CEO your account will be terminated immediately.”

That’s something you’ll never read at the Guardian.  But you’ll never read Michael O’Meara, either.

My father, an Englishmen, served in 1944 as a Flight Lieutenant and pilot with 75 Squadron Royal New Zealand Airforce.  My grandfather was a medical orderly in the Gallipoli Campaign of April-December 1915.  Through these tenuous links I claim some small interest in ...

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The Middle East Times ran a nice piece of disinformation on 16th April about the thousands of Iranians who ...

visit a new Holocaust Web site in Farsi run by Israel’s Yad Vashem Holocaust memorial, despite their leadership’s questioning the Nazi genocide of Jews, the museum said.”

... The Web site was put online by Yad Vashem in Jerusalem in January, and has so far had some 25,100 visits, including 12,170 from inside Iran, spokeswoman Estee Yaari said.

It includes 20 historical chapters on World War II, the Nazi regime, the systematic killings, and photos from the Nazi death camps and ghettos.

“We believe that making credible, comprehensive information about the Holocaust available to Persian speakers can contribute to the fight against Holocaust denial,” said Yad Vashem chairman Avner Shalev.

Iran’s firebrand president, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, has branded the systematic killing of 6 million of Europe’s Jews as a “myth,” and last year Tehran hosted a controversial revisionist Holocaust conference, sparking an international outcry.

Shalev calls the Web site a powerful tool against Ahmadinejad’s rhetoric, which has included calls for the Jewish state to be “wiped off the map.”

So let’s look at this “powerful tool”.  It isn’t clear, actually, whether the “25,100 visits” are unique visitors or just hits.  I presume that Yad Vashem isn’t too fussy about the difference and these are just hits - in which case the site is doing in three months about half what MR, also a specialised facility, pulls in a single day.

Now, the visitor figure for “Iranians” is less than half of the total.  But ... there are up to 40,000 Persian Jews in Iran who might be expected to have a greater than average interest in the site.

So how many Ahmadinejad-apostates is Yad Vashem really celebrating?  Based on our profile of visitors I would guess the site receives about 80 unique visitors per day from within Iran.  Of those half could easily be Jews, and of the remainder the preponderant majority are there in the expectation of sampling a Jewish deception.

The article quotes two visitor messages of support but doesn’t, of course, specify whether the authors were ethnic Iranians or Jews.  However, let us give them the benefit of the doubt.  They have had at least two successes for their trouble.

The population of Iran is 71 million.  But what the heck, there’s always a bit of good publicity to be got out of it.

Oh yes, and one more thing.  Ahmadinejad never said Israel should be wiped off the map.  His words were, “Our dear Imam said that the occupying regime must be wiped off the map and this was a very wise statement.”

Yad Vashem, being a temple of historical fidelity, really should be able to get that right.  If it’s interest was in doing so.

Since a raciosexual cause seems supported by the circumstances of the Virginia Tech massacre, I decided to pursue that hypothesis by looking at all major US college massacres since Generation X started going to college.  I chose Generation X because it was the first generation to experience, during college age, the severe raciosexual repercussions of the radical, government mandated, experiments on humans conducted in US colleges by the combination of immigration and integration laws passed in the mid 1960s, along with the sexual revolution, feminism and gay liberation.

If the raciosexual cause hypothesis is accurate, I expected to see more East Asian perps than their percentage on campus. 

What I found was that:

• 4 of 4 college massacres since Generation X entered college were committed by immigrants.
• East Asians vastly exceeded expectations at 3 out of 4. 
• Europeans were vastly underrepresented at 0 out of 4.
• Africans committed 1 out of 4.

The African anomaly appears accounted for by a different model as his age was 43—not prime sexual competition age:

This means that we may need to look for a combination of causes that includes the general destabilization resulting from immigration, interacting with the raciosexual model in which East Asian males experience intense sexual stress during their young years due to the presence of highly diverse environments in US upper education.